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Home/Asian stock markets tad lower, US futures jump

Asian stock markets tad lower, US futures jump

Nikkei dropped 0.8 per cent, while Hong Kong, Sydney, Shanghai and Seoul fell less than 1.5 per cent

Asian stock markets fell on Thursday but not as sharply as Wall Street's rout overnight, while oil bounced off lows and US futures jumped, as Asia's brighter economic outlook offset investor worries about fresh Covid-19 lockdowns in Europe.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fell 1 per cent.

Singapore's Straits Times Index was down 0.7 per cent.

Japan's Nikkei fell 0.8 per cent and drops in Hong Kong, Sydney, Shanghai and Seoul were smaller than 1.5 per cent.

That is heavy but much less than the S&P 500 index's 3.5 per cent drop or the 4.2 per cent fall by Germany's DAX which led European shares to their lowest level since late May.

S&P 500 futures and Dow futures rebounded 1 per cent, which traders attributed to heightened volatility and to the less gloomy mood around Asia as China's economy builds up steam.

Asia is not really partaking in this second or third wave story because it's got its Covid largely under control, said Rob Carnell, chief economist in Asia at Dutch bank ING. As a result, domestic economies look reasonable. Exports will remain soft but domestically they are still doing ok and doing a lot better relative to Europe and the US.

In France, people will be required to stay in their homes from Friday, except to buy essential goods, seek medical attention or exercise. Germany will shut bars, restaurants and theatres from Nov. 2-30.

Meanwhile, central bank meetings and economic data are the main focus later on Thursday, with gathering uncertainty about the US Nov. 3 election also keeping investors on edge.

The Bank of Japan is set to maintain its massive stimulus programme and vow to take further action if the virus' economic fallout threatens a return to deflation.

Investors expect the European Central Bank to hold off on new measures and instead hint at action in December, which is likely to keep a lid on the euro.

German unemployment and inflation data, European confidence surveys and advance US GDP figures will also be closely watched - with the US figure likely to show record growth, but still leave the economy behind where it began 2020.

Any disappointment in these numbers may have a magnified market impact, given the current weakness, said CMC Markets' Sydney-based strategist, Michael McCarthy.

Investors are also increasingly wary of a contested US election result that could unleash a wave of risk-asset selling.

Wall Street's "fear gauge," the Cboe Volatility Index surged on Wednesday to its highest level since June and a jump in implied currency volatility indicates that a wild ride is expected.

The US bond market, however, was somnolent as investors looked past polling day and figured huge government borrowing for coronavirus relief spending will happen no matter who wins.

Benchmark US 10-year yields rose overnight and added about a basis point on Thursday to 0.7894 per cent.

Looking ahead, heightened volatility in the run-up to the election and even, potentially, following the election will eventually subside, said Seema Shah, chief strategist at Principal Global Investors. Markets will soon reassert a trajectory determined by fundamentals, rather than election news flow.